What is Trump betting on?
Certainly, Trump can’t understand why Iran, people and government, rejects to negotiate with him, even though he has recently made an explicit call to this effect. During the past two years, he also made eleven attempts to negotiate, but the Iranians refused as their President, Mr. Rouhani, revealed.
After using sanctions and siege, reviewing the military force and making threats and intimidation, the US President believes he could get into negotiations that satisfy his desires and please Zionists, fancying that these negotiations could have a serious effect and end the intensity of Iranian rejection and drives them to exploit what appears to be a golden opportunity provided by Trump to the Iranians.
Obviously, what Trump is trying hard, using the policy of stick and carrot, is to reach a bilateral nuclear understanding in which Iran gives up nuclear technology, especially that the US withdrawal from the nuclear agreement did not lead to its collapse, nor to the withdrawal of any other party including Iran, which has held on to it. The rights and obligations that Iran has gained from the nuclear agreement aroused the anger of the Zionists, who consider the agreement will enable Tehran to achieve its military nuclear objectives, so they launched their campaign against the agreement, and they were the main instigator to make the US withdraw from it.
Trump knows very well that for almost forty years the United States has tried every large and soft means of subjugating the Islamic Republic, changing its anti-imperialist and Zionist regime, but Iran has thwarted all the American conspiracies that have targeted it and emerged stronger and more adherence to its resistant, ideological and political approach. Trump’s expectations will go to the ways of the winds as his predecessors failed to achieve anything.
Some believe that Trump’s sweeping pressure on Iran and its harsh punitive measures have put the Iranians in a great predicament that they will not succeed in getting out of this time unless they reach an agreement with the US President and listen to his terms. But this view is arbitrary and naive, because it does not weigh or take into account the enormous experience that the Iranians accumulated in facing this kind of challenge, aside from the fact that the Iranian popular discontent with America has increased and lost confidence in it, in addition to the growing strength of the anti-American camp which Iran is one of its main forces.
All these factors simply mean that Iran is not in a position to bow to any American dictates whatever Trump’s carrot and stick size are, nor even to negotiate with him as long as he has no political and moral credibility qualify him for that.
So, what is this man betting on, who cannot see the region except with the eyes of the Zionists?!
This question is really puzzling, the bet on US military force is not logical, the US and Israel will not be able to bear the consequences of any US aggression on Iran. Either bet on changing Iran’s initial position is a kind of the sever political and strategic shortcoming that is explained by the inability of Trump’s mentality to understand that the political positions of some countries such as Iran are not goods to be bought and sold, and not deals to be concluded under intimidation and attraction.
It is difficult for a man of American deals to understand that he is dealing with a state of political and strategic constants that are inseparable from its cultural and moral authority, in addition, that Iran masters the art of politics and diplomacy to the extent that Trump himself appears before it to be a failed student with no future.
Sharif Al -Khatib
Editor-in-Chief