The explosion which hit Beirut ‘s Southern Suburb on Thursday, August 15th was not surprising, only in its size. Hezbollah was expecting it. Though it took every possible precaution but it was aware that preventing such explosions is impossible. Facts and Results speak themselves :
– First, the bombing was professional par excellence. The access of the booby trapped car to the appointed place, and the quality of used explosives were not the work of amateurs. The Place was monitored precisely and the booby trapped car was delivered probably in cooperation with hirelings at home.
– Second, such explosion can not happen unless backed by a master-minded intelligence system . It is similar to Israel’s bombings in Lebanon, looks like al-Qaeda bombings in Iraq and al-Nusra Front in Syria, or even similar to earlier bombings of a conflict between great intelligence agencies.
– Third, the explosion occurred while Hezbollah was commemorating 2006 victory over Israel, and in the wake of announcement of the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, that the resistance blew up the two explosives in the Israeli patrol recently infiltrated into Lebanon from Allabouna area. Israel silence and confusion because of this quality operation were overwhelmed after Nasrallah’s speech. Moreover, the Secretary General of Hezbollah, was pre-empted all this information by a live public appearance in front of his audience , in an eventual defiance to Israel to target him.
– Fourth, this second bombing comes less than 40 days from an earlier bombing against Beirut ‘s Southern Suburb. Again, also targeting the incubator environment for Hezbollah, perhaps to say that Hezbollah which defies Israel and the fighting in Syria is not able to protect itself so that it needs to be protected by another party , in an attempt to raise the issue of Hezbollah’s weapons, again.
– Fifth, This bombing was followed by an international, Israeli and Arab campaign against Hezbollah. The campaign was escalated after Hezbollah involvement in the fighting in Syria, and its contribution to the Fall of al-Qusair area and making of some strategic shifts in the battle. The Campaign emerged during the visit of U.S. President Barack Obama to Israel where he for 5 times described Hezbollah as “terrorist”. This was followed by the European Union decision to place the military wing of Hezbollah on the list of terrorism. The two positions coincided with a similar Arab Gulf position against Hezbollah by firing Lebanese working in the Gulf under suspects of being close to Hezbollah.
– Sixth, the attack came after statements made publicly by al-Nusra Front , Free Syrian army” or armed opposition affiliated groups threatening to revenge Hezbollah in its own stronghold incubator .
– Seventh, The attack came shortly after the recent speech of Lebanese President Michel Suleiman, who surprised everyone by criticizing Hezbollah weapons and its role in Syria.
– Eighth, the bombing came at a time of large Arab chaos – reflected in renewed violent bombings in Iraq, and Egypt’s bloodbath between supporters and opponents of ousted President Mohamed Morsi,. This chaos which extends from Iraq to Egypt, Syria and Lebanon, is taking place, while the US seeks to impose a suspicious peace process between Israel and the Palestinians amid a more suspicious Arab silence.
– Ninth, the attack followed the announcement by President Bashar al-Assad that the fight will continue against terrorists, and President al-Assad ‘s defiance coincided with great preparations between the warring parties in Syria to move forward in making the greatest military achievements, not to forget the failed attempt of the Saudi intelligence chief Prince Bandar bin Sultan to bribe the Russians to abandon Syria under the leadership of President Bashar al-Assad.
In short, the bombing which hit Beirut southern suburb came at the peak of conflict between two axes in the region, with each party feels that its defeat is impossible. The first axis includes the US , Israel and some Arab countries, and the second includes Russia, China, Iran and Hezbollah.
As US-Russian relations became more intensified with the case of the American spy “Snowden” , who was granted political asylum in Russia, the said grave security disturbances which extend from Iraq to Lebanon via Syria, are an integral part in the conflict of axes . Therefore, though it is important to know the exploder, more importantly is that the beneficiary is quite known.
T. Fateh